$33.7k Vol.
25 Nov
After the 2023–24 float the naira has stabilised in the ₦1,450–1,600 band. Where does it end the year at the official window?
Resolves 'Yes' if the Central Bank of Nigeria's published NFEM closing rate for USD/NGN on the last trading day of 2026 is strictly above ₦1,600.00. Otherwise 'No'.
Odds look about right to me. Watching this one closely.
Bank of Ghana has been surprisingly hawkish. Careful.
Odds look about right to me. Watching this one closely.
Odds look about right to me. Watching this one closely.
CBN's last communiqué was more dovish than people think.
Base effects will do most of the work in Q4.
Anyone know the resolution source timing on this?
Rebased CPI makes historical comparisons tricky.
Rebased CPI makes historical comparisons tricky.
Anyone know the resolution source timing on this?